Birthdays/biases/logic

Roger Burton West roger at firedrake.org
Tue Dec 21 04:43:24 EST 2004


On Tue, Dec 21, 2004 at 09:34:09AM +0200, Gili Bar-Hillel wrote:

>My mother has a colleague in England who claims he enjoys torturing his
>family by picking a number just seconds before the great draw on television.
>Everybody groans and covers their ears because no one can bear the thought
>of the regret they'll feel if the number actually wins and they didn't go
>and buy a ticket. But he still does it every week, with the confidence that
>the odds are in his favor (against winning).

I pick numbers sometimes, when I remember. If I start consistently
getting them right, I'll start buying tickets.

R
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