Birthdays/biases/logic

Otter Perry ottertee at silverwinggraphics.com
Mon Dec 20 21:09:51 EST 2004


On Monday, December 20, 2004, at 11:46 AM, Dorian E. Gray wrote:

> Charlie said...
>
>> I've never been able to bring myself to buy a national lottery ticket,
>> though occasionally tempted, because I've never been able to forget Dr
>> Johnson's description of it as 'a tax on fools'.
>
> I shall now sink myself beyond reproach and admit that I buy lottery 
> tickets on a semi-regular basis.  In my defence, I can only say that I 
> buy only one entry to the draw, do it maybe twice a month, I can 
> afford it, and I don't actually expect to win anything.

Yup.  Just like me.  I figured out that one chance in 13.8 million is 
very
different from no chance, statistics or no statistics.  I also figured 
out that
three chances in 13.8 million is not enough different from one chance
to be worth the extra money.

-------------------------------------------


Mornings are a delusion of the
planet bound.

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